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Mack Hollins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

Mack Hollins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+780/-850).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -970 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -850.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (59.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.

The Patriots offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Mack Hollins's 78.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a substantial boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 66.2% rate.

Mack Hollins grades out in the 75th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.29 per game.

The Browns defense has been torched for the 8th-most TDs through the air in the NFL to WRs: 1.14 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.48 seconds per snap.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.

After totaling 40.0 air yards per game last year, Mack Hollins has regressed heavily this year, currently pacing 23.0 per game.

More Mack Hollins Player Props

Mack Hollins TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

Mack Hollins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8