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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+405/-540).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -490 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -540.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • Mack Hollins has notched quite a few more air yards this year (56.0 per game) than he did last year (40.0 per game).
  • Mack Hollins's 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 26.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (59.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (59.7%).

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