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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+305/-380).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +340 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +305.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • The leading projections forecast Mack Hollins to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the goal line in this week's contest (15.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played).
  • After accruing 40.0 air yards per game last season, Mack Hollins has shown good development this season, currently averaging 53.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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