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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+435/-520).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +485 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +435.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Patriots.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Mack Hollins's 87.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching ability over last year's 66.2% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • After accumulating 40.0 air yards per game last season, Mack Hollins has posted significant losses this season, now pacing 25.0 per game.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.7%) vs. wideouts this year (61.7%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 10th-fewest receiving touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.75 per game this year.
  • The Tampa Bay cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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