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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
  • Mack Hollins's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 66.2% to 85.6%.
  • The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks rank as the 5th-worst CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 5th-most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Mack Hollins's 50.6% Route% this season illustrates an impressive diminishment in his pass game utilization over last season's 68.8% rate.

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