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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+126/-161).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -161.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 136.5 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 56.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a measly 54.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Mack Hollins's 13.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 26.1.

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