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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • Mack Hollins's 14.8% Target% this year conveys a noteable progression in his passing attack volume over last year's 9.8% mark.
  • The New England offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (59.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (59.7%).
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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