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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Mack Hollins's 79.3% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a remarkable growth in his receiving skills over last year's 66.2% figure.
  • This year, the weak Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up a monstrous 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-biggest rate in football.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been terrible this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Mack Hollins has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (56.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (68.8%).

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