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Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

While Mack Hollins has accounted for 12.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New England's offense in this week's contest at 18.4%.

The Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Mack Hollins's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 66.2% to 79.4%.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New York's safety corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Patriots being a huge 12.5-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 4th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.6 per game) this year.

More Mack Hollins Player Props

Mack Hollins ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 11