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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Mack Hollins's 87.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching ability over last year's 66.2% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Mack Hollins's 50.6% Route Participation% this season conveys a meaningful regression in his passing game workload over last season's 68.8% figure.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.7%) vs. wideouts this year (61.7%).
  • The Tampa Bay cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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