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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-240/+175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Las Vegas Raiders cornerbacks rank as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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