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Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Mack Hollins's 75.0% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a noteable improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 66.2% figure.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.3%) vs. wideouts this year (75.3%).

This year, the weak Titans defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a massive 9.53 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Patriots, who are a huge favorite by 7 points.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 51.7% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

In terms of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.93 seconds per play, the model projects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most sluggish in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.

Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased rush volume.

Mack Hollins has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (40.0 per game).

More Mack Hollins Player Props

Mack Hollins Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7