My Account Log Out
 
 
Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league (62.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.
  • Since the start of last season, the feeble Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a colossal 8.86 yards.
  • The Steelers pass defense has not been good when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.21 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New England O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • With a poor 2.52 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) since the start of last season, Mack Hollins stands as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™