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Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have only 130.4 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (32.5 per game) this year.

The Patriots O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Patriots are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.4% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Patriots have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 47.3 plays per game.

This year, the tough Denver Broncos defense has conceded a mere 116.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 9th-best in the NFL.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wideouts this year, yielding 7.28 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

More Mack Hollins Player Props

Mack Hollins Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21