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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Mack Hollins has been responsible for 15.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of New England's offense in this week's game at 20.0%.
  • After accruing 40.0 air yards per game last year, Mack Hollins has produced significantly more this year, currently pacing 57.0 per game.
  • The New England O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Mack Hollins's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 66.2% to 71.3%.
  • This year, the deficient New York Jets defense has given up the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a massive 8.54 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Patriots, who are a massive favorite by 13.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Mack Hollins's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this season, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.68 figure last season.

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