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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Mack Hollins's 36.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects an impressive growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 26.0 rate.
  • Mack Hollins's 79.3% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a remarkable growth in his receiving skills over last year's 66.2% figure.
  • Mack Hollins's 10.4 adjusted yards per target this year represents an impressive boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 8.7 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Mack Hollins has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (56.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (68.8%).
  • Mack Hollins's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a material decrease in his effectiveness in space over last year's 2.7% rate.

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