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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Mack Hollins has accounted for 12.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New England's offense in this week's contest at 18.4%.
  • The Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Mack Hollins's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 66.2% to 79.4%.
  • Mack Hollins's 10.0 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a noteworthy growth in his receiving talent over last year's 8.7 rate.
  • This year, the deficient New York Jets defense has conceded the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a staggering 8.51 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Patriots being a huge 12.5-point favorite this week.
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 4th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Mack Hollins's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this season, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.68 figure last season.

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