Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:50 PM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Completion% in football (68.4%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (68.4%).
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
Mack Hollins has been not been very involved his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of just 4.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 18th percentile among wideouts.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Mack Hollins has been among the worst wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 16.0 yards per game while ranking in the 24th percentile among WRs.
Mack Hollins has been among the worst WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 22nd percentile.