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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Mac Jones Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-1100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Mac Jones to attempt 36.7 passes in this contest, on balance: the 6th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • The rushing touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Mac Jones's trading card this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 45.6% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.
  • The predictive model expects Mac Jones to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game near the goal line in this week's game (8.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-highest clip in the NFL versus the Falcons defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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