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Mac Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers

Mac Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Mac Jones.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 137.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).

The projections expect Mac Jones to attempt 36.9 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.

The Giants defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-least pass-focused team in football near the end zone (54.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the 49ers.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the San Francisco 49ers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

As it relates to defensive tackles pass-rushing, New York's group of DTs has been great this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

More Mac Jones Player Props

Mac Jones TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers

Mac Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9