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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a whopping 63.7 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to utilize backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to run on 39.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • The Houston Texans defense has produced the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing just 3.78 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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