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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to run on 47.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Saints run defense has surrendered a meager 5.07 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 31st-best rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones.

The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 56.3 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Mac Jones is positioned as one of the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 1.07 yards-after-contact last year while ranking in the 20th percentile.

The Saints safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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