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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 11th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

With a dreadful total of 7.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (24th percentile), Mac Jones ranks as one of the worst rushing QBs in football this year.

Mac Jones's 2.95 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a material decrease in his rushing talent over last season's 3.94 rate.

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