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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jaguars.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars will be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Jaguars have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.4 plays per game.

With an awful record of 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (23rd percentile), Mac Jones ranks among the weakest rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

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