Mac Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 10, 2024 5:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones.
A passing game script is implied by the Jaguars being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.
The predictive model expects the Jaguars as the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.1 plays per game.

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