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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
  • Mac Jones's 68.1% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a significant gain in his passing accuracy over last year's 64.9% mark.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in football against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season (74.4% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Mac Jones has been one of the weakest quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging 176.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 21st percentile.
  • Mac Jones comes in as one of the least effective passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 6.44 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 17th percentile.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's CB corps has been excellent since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

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