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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 204.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 199.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones.

The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.

The Saints defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the 4th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 56.3 per game on average).

In this week's contest, Mac Jones is anticipated by the projections to have the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 33.0.

Mac Jones rates as one of the bottom passers in football last year, averaging 166.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 19th percentile.

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