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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 237.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 234.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 68.6% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 38.0 passes this week, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.

The Miami Dolphins defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.33 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the NFL.

The Miami Dolphins linebackers profile as the 9th-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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