Mac Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 224.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 225.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Mac Jones has been among the best precision passers in the NFL this year with a terrific 68.7% Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.
Opposing teams have thrown for the most yards in the league (255.0 per game) versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 38.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
The New England Patriots offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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