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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Completions
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Mac Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-119/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
  • Mac Jones's 68.1% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a significant gain in his passing accuracy over last year's 64.9% mark.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in football against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season (74.4% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's CB corps has been excellent since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

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