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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Mac Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 11th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Las Vegas's group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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