Mac Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to run on 40.5% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Mac Jones to accumulate 2.3 carries in this game, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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