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Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Luther Burden III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to call the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • The Bears offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.2%) versus WRs this year (67.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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