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Luther Burden III Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Luther Burden III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears have a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call 68.8 offensive plays in this game: the most among all teams this week.

The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a monstrous 61.4 per game on average).

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 53.8% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

This year, the tough Detroit Lions defense has surrendered a paltry 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 9th-best rate in football.

The Detroit Lions safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Luther Burden III Player Props

Luther Burden III ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Luther Burden III Receptions
Player Prop Week 18