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Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Luther Burden III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-162/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +137 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -162.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At just 28.07 seconds per play, the Chicago Bears offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in football (context-neutralized) this year.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: most in the league.
  • The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • This year, the porous Steelers pass defense has allowed a monstrous 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 10th-biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best group of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.

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