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Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Luther Burden III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are forecasted by the model to run 67.9 total plays in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's unit has been awful since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.6% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-least pass-focused team in football has been the Chicago Bears.
  • The Raiders defense has conceded the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 133.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the imposing Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a puny 8.0 yards.

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