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Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Luther Burden III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 135.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
  • The Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.0 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
  • This year, the shaky Giants defense has conceded a massive 164.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 51.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 22-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause decreased passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's group of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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