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Luke Schoonmaker

Luke Schoonmaker Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Luke Schoonmaker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1400/-2250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have been the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • This year, the stout Denver Broncos run defense has allowed a puny 0.57 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the 7th-best rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • Luke Schoonmaker's 45.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 76.7% rate.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on the back of Luke Schoonmaker's trading card this year.
  • This year, the imposing Broncos defense has allowed a paltry 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

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