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Luke Schoonmaker

Luke Schoonmaker Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Luke Schoonmaker Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a staggering 61.0 per game on average).
  • This year, the poor Panthers pass defense has allowed a massive 92.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-worst rate in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see only 126.5 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Luke Schoonmaker's play as a receiver has diminished this year, totaling a measly 0.6 adjusted catches vs 2.6 last year.

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