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Luke Schoonmaker

Luke Schoonmaker Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Luke Schoonmaker Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cowboys this year (a massive 59.8 per game on average).
  • This year, the feeble Commanders pass defense has been gouged for a monstrous 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-biggest rate in football.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Washington's unit has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Luke Schoonmaker's 18.2% Route% this season illustrates a noteable regression in his air attack workload over last season's 28.6% figure.
  • The Dallas O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Luke Schoonmaker's play as a receiver has tailed off this year, notching a measly 0.9 adjusted receptions compared to 2.6 last year.
  • Luke Schoonmaker's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 76.7% to 52.1%.

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