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Luke Schoonmaker

Luke Schoonmaker Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Luke Schoonmaker Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.3 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • This year, the weak Chargers pass defense has given up a staggering 77.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and approaches of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.63 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • Luke Schoonmaker has run fewer routes this year (18.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (28.6%).
  • The Cowboys O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Luke Schoonmaker's receiving skills have worsened this season, compiling a measly 0.9 adjusted catches vs 2.6 last season.

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