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Luke Schoonmaker

Luke Schoonmaker Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Luke Schoonmaker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Commanders defense has given up the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (60.0) vs. TEs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Luke Schoonmaker has accrued significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (4.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).
  • Luke Schoonmaker's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 76.7% to 46.1%.
  • Luke Schoonmaker's 2.2 adjusted yards per target this season shows a remarkable drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 6.4 mark.

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