Luke Schoonmaker Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Luke Schoonmaker

NFL · Player Props

Luke Schoonmaker

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Luke Schoonmaker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: most in the NFL.

Favors Under

This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a paltry 52.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the lowest rate in football.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus TEs this year, allowing 4.23 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in football.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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