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Luke Musgrave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Luke Musgrave Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Steelers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the deficient Steelers defense has conceded a massive 0.67 TDs through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the 4th-highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Green Bay Packers rank as the 7th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 54.5% red zone run rate.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave has been as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the end zone in football.

The receiving TD field reads "0" on Luke Musgrave's box scores this year.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's DT corps has been awful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

More Luke Musgrave Player Props

Luke Musgrave TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Luke Musgrave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8