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Luke Musgrave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

Luke Musgrave Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+740/-980).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -980.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

The projections expect Luke Musgrave to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the goal line in this contest (6.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

This year, the stout Denver Broncos run defense has yielded a puny 0.69 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 54.6% rate of running the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 3rd-most run-oriented offense in football under these circumstances has been the Green Bay Packers.

Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.

The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on Luke Musgrave's stats page this year.

This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has yielded a measly 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Denver's collection of DEs has been awful this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

More Luke Musgrave Player Props

Luke Musgrave TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

Luke Musgrave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15