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Luke Musgrave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Luke Musgrave Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+430/-435).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -410 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -435.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

While Luke Musgrave has accounted for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Green Bay's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 13.4%.

The Packers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

Luke Musgrave rates as one of the best possession receivers in football among TEs, hauling in an impressive 93.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Packers are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 52.6% of their chances: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Green Bay Packers rank as the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 54.1% red zone run rate.

At the present time, the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Packers.

The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

More Luke Musgrave Player Props

Luke Musgrave TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Luke Musgrave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11