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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Luke Musgrave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+240/-375).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Luke Musgrave is positioned as one of the worst TE receiving threats this year, averaging a measly 1.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 18th percentile among TEs.

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