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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Luke Musgrave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

Luke Musgrave comes in as one of the best possession receivers in football among tight ends, catching a fantastic 82.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Packers being a giant 7-point favorite in this game.

The leading projections forecast the Packers to call the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Packers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

Luke Musgrave grades out as one of the bottom pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 1.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 19th percentile among TEs.

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