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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Luke Musgrave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Washington Commanders, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.0 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Luke Musgrave ranks as one of the weakest pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 1.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 12th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

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