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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Luke Musgrave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luke Musgrave's 15.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 9.6.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81%) versus tight ends this year (81.0%).
  • When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Chicago's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

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